After six Scotland Championship rounds, Greenock Morton average just 0.3 goals per match. Inverness CT sit at 0.8 goals per match, and Morton's recent run shows one draw and five defeats. Under 2.5 fits because neither side sustains attacking pressure; the combined goal output is too thin for three goals. The match profile points to a tight, low-scoring contest.

Ayr Utd have gone under 2.5 goals in four of their last six matches. Under 2.5 is the selection because Stenhousemuir have also stayed below that line in each of their last four games. The visitors top the Championship after three rounds with 7 points and only one goal conceded, a sign of a tight, low-risk approach. That profile points to a controlled match rather than a shootout.

Austria beat Israel 4-2 in November 2021, their latest head-to-head. Four of the last five meetings produced at least four goals. Austria are without David Alaba, Xaver Schlager and Konrad Laimer; Israel miss Raz Shlomo and Omer Gandelman, with Dor Peretz doubtful. Both teams to score - Yes fits: Marko Arnautović, Christoph Baumgartner and Marcel Sabitzer give Austria routes forward, while Eran Zahavi, Oscar Gloukh and Manor Solomon carry Israel's threat; weakened defensive screens leave gaps.

Four meetings between these two have yielded five goals in total — 1.25 per game. My reading is Both teams to score — No: this fixture has always been decided by small margins, and neither attack sustains pressure. Andorra at home generate just 0.33 xG, and Scoreo rates no goals for both sides at 61 percent.